Will the deconfinement of December 15 take place? The figures for the coronavirus epidemic are in any case not as good as expected. “We are still far from the goal of falling below the 5,000 cases per day mark“, said Jérôme Salomon, Director General of Health, Monday December 7. To relax the rules of containment, Emmanuel Macron had set a target of less than 5,000 new daily cases by December 15. But at the current rate, daily contaminations could rise to 6,624 on this date.
For some scientists, it will not be necessary to question the deadline of December 15, because it is not the threshold of 5,000, but the trend that is important. “Are we in a state of circulation that is sufficiently favorable to long-term control, or is the situation too fragile from an epidemiological perspective to relax certain restrictions?“, request Mircea Sofonea, epidemiologist and specialist in modeling at the University of Montpellier (Hérault). Second condition set by the Head of State: to go under the bar of 3,000 patients in intensive care. This should be the case on December 15, although it will take a long time to get back to normal. Prime Minister Jean Castex will hold a press conference on Thursday, December 10 to confirm, or not, the relaxation of containment.
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